I-IEA iqikelela ukuba isiseko sokukhula kobonelelo lwamandla kwixesha elizayo siya kuba ngamandla enyukliya, kwaye ingqwalasela yemfuno iya kuba ziindawo zedatha kunye nobukrelekrele bokwenziwa.

Kutshanje, i-International Energy Agency ikhuphe ingxelo ethi “Electricity 2024”, ebonisa ukuba imfuno yombane yehlabathi iya kukhula nge-2.2% ngo-2023, ingaphantsi kokukhula kwe-2.4% ngo-2022. Nangona iTshayina, iIndiya kunye namazwe amaninzi akuMzantsi-mpuma we-Asia eza kubona ukukhula okunamandla kwemfuno yombane ngo-2023, imfuno yombane kuqoqosho oluphucukileyo iye yehla kakhulu ngenxa yemeko-bume yezoqoqosho olucothayo kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, kwaye imveliso yemveliso kunye nemizi-mveliso nayo iye yacotha.

I-International Energy Agency ilindele ukuba imfuno yombane yehlabathi ikhule ngesantya esiphezulu kwiminyaka emithathu ezayo, ifikelele kwi-3.4% ngonyaka ukuya kuthi ga kwi-2026. Olu kukhula luya kuqhutywa yimbono yoqoqosho lwehlabathi ephucukileyo, enceda amazwe aphuhlileyo nasakhulayo ukuba akhawulezise ukukhula kwemfuno yombane. Ingakumbi kumazwe aphuhlileyo nawaseTshayina, ukuqhubeka kokufakelwa kombane kumacandelo eendawo zokuhlala nezothutho kunye nokwandiswa okukhulu kwecandelo leziko ledatha kuya kuxhasa imfuno yombane.

I-International Energy Agency iqikelela ukuba ukusetyenziswa kombane kwihlabathi liphela kwiziko ledatha, ubukrelekrele bokwenziwa kunye namashishini e-cryptocurrency kunokuphindaphindeka kabini ngo-2026. Amaziko edatha anegalelo elikhulu ekukhuleni kwemfuno yamandla kwiindawo ezininzi. Emva kokusebenzisa iiyure ezingama-460 ze-terawatt kwihlabathi liphela ngo-2022, ukusetyenziswa kombane kwiziko ledatha kungafikelela kwiiyure ezingaphezu kwe-1,000 ze-terawatt ngo-2026. Le mfuno iphantse ilingane nokusetyenziswa kombane eJapan. Imithetho eqinisiweyo kunye nokuphuculwa kwetekhnoloji, kubandakanya nokuphuculwa kokusebenza kakuhle, kubalulekile ekunciphiseni ukunyuka kokusetyenziswa kwamandla kwiziko ledatha.

Ngokuphathelele umbane, ingxelo ithi ukuveliswa kwamandla avela kwimithombo yamandla akhupha umbane omncinci (kuquka imithombo yamandla avuselelekayo efana nelanga, umoya, kunye namandla e-hydropower, kunye namandla enyukliya) kuya kufikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu, ngaloo ndlela kunciphisa inani lokuveliswa kwamandla e-fossil fuel. Ekuqaleni kuka-2025, amandla avuselelekayo aya kudlula amalahle kwaye abangele ngaphezulu kwesithathu sokuveliswa kombane kwihlabathi liphela. Ngo-2026, imithombo yamandla akhupha umbane omncinci kulindeleke ukuba ibe malunga ne-50% yokuveliswa kombane kwihlabathi liphela.

Ingxelo yonyaka yemarike yamalahle ka-2023 eyayikhutshwe yi-International Energy Agency ibonisa ukuba imfuno yamalahle kwihlabathi iya kubonisa ukuhla kwiminyaka embalwa ezayo emva kokufikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu ngo-2023. Eli lixesha lokuqala ingxelo iqikelela ukwehla kwemfuno yamalahle kwihlabathi. Ingxelo iqikelela ukuba imfuno yamalahle kwihlabathi iya kunyuka nge-1.4% kunonyaka ophelileyo ngo-2023, idlule kwiitoni eziziibhiliyoni eziyi-8.5 okokuqala. Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokwanda okukhulu kwamandla avuselelekayo, imfuno yamalahle kwihlabathi iya kuqhubeka yehla nge-2.3% ngo-2026 xa kuthelekiswa no-2023, nokuba oorhulumente ababhengezi kwaye basebenzise imigaqo-nkqubo enamandla yamandla acocekileyo kunye nemozulu. Ukongeza, urhwebo lwamalahle kwihlabathi jikelele kulindeleke ukuba lunciphe njengoko imfuno incipha kwiminyaka ezayo.

UBirol, umlawuli we-International Energy Agency, uthe ukukhula ngokukhawuleza kwamandla avuselelekayo kunye nokwanda okuqhubekayo kwamandla enyukliya kulindeleke ukuba kuhlangabezene kunye nokukhula kwemfuno yombane kwihlabathi liphela kwiminyaka emithathu ezayo. Oku kungenxa kakhulu yesantya esikhulu samandla avuselelekayo, akhokelwa ngamandla elanga afikelelekayo ngakumbi, kodwa kwanangenxa yokubuya okubalulekileyo kwamandla enyukliya.


Ixesha lokuthumela: Feb-02-2024